Erik Løhre
External collaborator
Publications
Simula-affiliated publications listed
2018
Journal Articles
E. Løhre
Stronger, sooner, and more certain climate change: A link between certainty and outcome strength in revised forecasts
The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology
K. Teigen
The boundary effect: Perceived post hoc accuracy of prediction intervals
Journal of Judgment and Decision Making
Proceedings, non-refereed
E. Løhre, A. Sobkow, S. M. Hohle and K. H. Teigen
Perceived disagreement between experts’ numerical probability estimates: Effects of framing and directional verbal terms
The Risk and Uncertainty Conference
Talks, invited
E. Løhre
Using intervals to communicate uncertainty
SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Wroclaw, Poland
2017
Journal Articles
K. Teigen and E. Løhre
Expressing (un)certainty in no uncertain terms: Reply to Fox and Ülkümen
Thinking and Reasoning
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
Probabilities associated with precise and vague forecasts
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
Proceedings, non-refereed
E. Løhre
Climate change and uncertainty: Communication challenges
Conference on Environmental Psychology
Talks, invited
E. Løhre
Intuitive (mis)understandings of uncertainty about climate change
Oslo Centre for Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Oslo, Norway
2016
Journal Articles
E. Løhre and M. Jørgensen
Numerical anchors and their strong effects on software development effort estimates
Journal of Systems and Software
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
There is a 60% probability, but I am 70% certain: communicative consequences of external and internal expressions of uncertainty
Thinking and Reasoning
Proceedings, refereed
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
Stronger forecasts are more certain
ESCON Transfer of Knowledge Conference
Posters
E. Løhre
Revised forecasts: the bolder, the better
2015
Journal Articles
K. Teigen, E. Løhre and S. M. Hohle
Det (u)sikre og det (u)sannsynlige: Hva forskerne sier og hva de (kanskje) mener
Impuls - Tidsskrift for psykologi
PhD Thesis
E. Løhre
Communication of predictions: effects of anchors, frames, and expressions of uncertainty
Posters
E. Løhre, K. Teigen and S. M. Hohle
Trusting an uncertain forecaster: Judgments of revised intervals in predictions of climate change
Talks, invited
E. Løhre
Klimaendringer og kommunikasjon av usikkerhet: Hva forskerne sier og hvordan de oppfattes
Seminar at CREE – Oslo Centre for Research on Environmentally friendly Energy
2014
Journal Articles
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
How Fast Can You (possibly) Do It, Or How Long Will It (certainly) Take? Communicating Uncertain Estimates of Performance Time
Acta Psychologica
Proceedings, refereed
E. Løhre
The Problem of Overprecision: Does "Thinking Again" Improve Interval Estimates?
ESCON 2014 - 16th European Social Cognition Network Meeting
Posters
E. Løhre and T. Halkjelsvik
Time Perception Can Influence Performance Time Predictions
2013
Proceedings, refereed
E. Løhre
The (Weak) Link Between Hindsight Bias and Overconfidence in Predictions
The 15th European Social Cognition Network Transfer of Knowledge Conference (ESCON 2013)
2012
Proceedings, refereed
M. Jørgensen and E. Løhre
First Impressions in Software Development Effort Estimation: Easy to Create and Difficult to Neutralize
16th Int. Conference on Evaluation & Assessment in Software Engineering