Karl-Halvor Teigen
External collaborator
Publications
Simula-affiliated publications listed
2018
Journal Articles
K. Teigen, P. Filkukova and S. M. Hohle
It can become 5 °C warmer: The extremity effect in climate forecasts
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied
K. Teigen
The boundary effect: Perceived post hoc accuracy of prediction intervals
Journal of Judgment and Decision Making
2017
Journal Articles
G. H. H. Nordbye, A. H. Riege and K. Teigen
Better safe than sorry: Risking irresponsibility by seeking uncertainty
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
A. H. Riege and K. Teigen
Everybody will win, and all must be hired: Comparing additivity neglect with the nonselective superiority bias.
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
K. Teigen and E. Løhre
Expressing (un)certainty in no uncertain terms: Reply to Fox and Ülkümen
Thinking and Reasoning
K. Teigen, G. Böhm, S. Bruckmüller, P. Hegarty and O. Luminet
Long Live the King! Beginnings Loom Larger than Endings of Past and Recurrent Events
Cognition
S. M. Hohle and K. Teigen
More than 50 percent or less than 70 percent chance: Pragmatic implications of single-bound probability estimates
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
Probabilities associated with precise and vague forecasts
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
Books
K. Teigen
Terningen er rund: Bedømmingspsykologi i tretten kapitler
Book Chapters
K. Teigen
Judgments by representativeness
Cognitive illusions: Intriguing phenomena in thinking, judgment, and memory
Posters
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
Predictions of development of life quality and environmental quality
2016
Journal Articles
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
There is a 60% probability, but I am 70% certain: communicative consequences of external and internal expressions of uncertainty
Thinking and Reasoning
Proceedings, refereed
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
Stronger forecasts are more certain
ESCON Transfer of Knowledge Conference
Book Chapters
K. Teigen
Framing of Numerical Quantities
The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making
K. Teigen
Judgments by representativeness
Cognitive illusions: Intriguing phenomena in thinking, judgment, and memory
Posters
S. M. Hohle and K. Teigen
Less than 50 percent or more than 30 percent chance? Pragmatic implications of single-bound probability estimates
Talks, keynote
K. Teigen
Perception of chances - real and imaginary
Thinking, high and low: Cognition and decision making in aviation. Cascais, Portugal
K. Teigen
The probable, the uncertain, and the hypothetical: Problems of assessment and communication
Concept Symposium 2016 Stavanger
2015
Journal Articles
A. B. Kanten and K. Teigen
A magnitude effect in judgments of subjective closeness
Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
K. Teigen, E. Løhre and S. M. Hohle
Det (u)sikre og det (u)sannsynlige: Hva forskerne sier og hva de (kanskje) mener
Impuls - Tidsskrift for psykologi
S. M. Hohle and K. Teigen
Forecasting forecasts: The trend effect
Judgment and Decision Making
Posters
S. M. Hohle and K. Teigen
The Trend Effect: When a Climate Forecast is Revised, Receivers Expect Further Revisions In the Same Direction
SJDM conference 2015
E. Løhre, K. Teigen and S. M. Hohle
Trusting an uncertain forecaster: Judgments of revised intervals in predictions of climate change
2014
Journal Articles
G. H. H. Nordbye and K. Teigen
Being Responsible Versus Acting Responsibly: Effects of Agency and Risk Taking on Responsibility Judgments
Scandinavian Journal of Psychology
A. H. Riege, U. Sulutvedt and K. Teigen
Format Dependent Probabilities: an Eye-Tracking Analysis of Additivity Neglect.
Polish Psychological Bulletin
E. Løhre and K. Teigen
How Fast Can You (possibly) Do It, Or How Long Will It (certainly) Take? Communicating Uncertain Estimates of Performance Time
Acta Psychologica
G. H. H. Nordbye and K. Teigen
Responsibility judgments of wins and losses in the 2013 Chess Championship.
Judgment and Decision Making
K. Teigen, M. Juanchich and P. Filkukova
Verbal Probabilities: an Alternative Approach
The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology
Talks, invited
K. Teigen
Verbal Probabilities: A Pragmatic Perspective
Research conference on uncertainty, the DICE lab, University of Bergen
2013
Journal Articles
K. Teigen and P. Filkukova
Can > Will: Predictions of What Can Happen Are Extreme, But Believed to Be Probable
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
Posters
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
The Effect of Nutrition Label Format on Perception of Products
2012
Book Chapters
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
Interpretations of "can" and "will" in Consumer Communication About Risks and Benefits
Narratives of Risk: Interdisciplinary studies
2011
Journal Articles
K. Teigen and P. Filkukova
Are Lies More Wrong Than Errors? Accuracy Judgments of Inaccurate Estimates
Scandinavian Journal of Psychology
A. B. Kanten and K. Teigen
Can People Predict the Effect of Temporal Distance on Task Duration Estimates?
journal
K. Teigen, A. B. Kanten and J. A. Terum
Going to the Other Extreme: Counterfactual Thinking Leads to Polarized Judgments
Thinking & Reasoning
T. Halkjelsvik, M. Jørgensen and K. Teigen
To Read Two Pages, I Need 5 Minutes, But Give Me 5 Minutes and I Will Read Four: How to Change Productivity Estimates by Inverting the Question
Applied Cognitive Psychology
Posters
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
Can- Vs. Will-Statements in the Context of Consumer Communication
16th General Meeting of the European Association of Social Psychology
2010
Talks, contributed
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
Perception of Product Information: How People Understand Descriptions of Uncertain Effects
12th annual European Social Cognition Network Transfer of Knowledge Conference, Sweden, Göteborg, 25th-29th August
2009
Posters
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
How Wrong Is a Lie?
22nd biennial conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making 2009-08-23 - 2009-08-27
Talks, contributed
P. Filkukova and K. Teigen
Perception of Product Information
11th annual Conference on Social and Community Psychology, NTNU, Trondheim, 12th-13th November
2007
Journal Articles
A. B. Kanten and K. Teigen
Better Than Average and Better With Time: Relative Evaluations of Self and Others in the Past, Present, and Future
European Journal of Social Psychology
2005
Journal Articles
K. Teigen and M. Jørgensen
When 90% Confidence Intervals Are Only 50% Certain: on the Credibility of Credible Intervals
Applied Cognitive Psychology
Talks, contributed
M. Jørgensen and K. Teigen
Kan Vi Unngå at "så å Si Helt Sikkert" Bare Betyr "60% Sikkert"?
Prosjektledelse (norsk fagtidsskrift for prosjektledere), Nr 2, s. 29-31
K. Teigen, M. Jørgensen and A. Halberg
On the Psychology of Uncertainty Intervals
Presentation at the seminar: Confidence in Interactive Decisions. University of Leicester
2004
Journal Articles
M. Jørgensen, K. Teigen and K. J. Moløkken-Østvold
Better Sure Than Safe? Overconfidence in Judgment Based Software Development Effort Prediction Intervals
Journal of Systems and Software
2002
Proceedings, refereed
K. Teigen and M. Jørgensen
Probability Intervals and Interval Probabilities Are Not the Same
Annual Meeting Society for Judgment and Decision Making (Poster)
M. Jørgensen and K. Teigen
Uncertainty Intervals Versus Interval Uncertainty: an Alternative Method for Eliciting Effort Prediction Intervals in Software Development Projects
Proceedings of International Conference on Project Management (ProMAC)